Dodgers vs Yankees Betting Guide – 7/18/26

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

New York Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Emmet Sheehan – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Emmet Sheehan’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.1 mph this year (93.9 mph) below where it was last season (95 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Against the weak defense of New York’s 3rd-worst infield of all teams today), Tommy Edman has a very favorable matchup given his extreme groundball tendencies.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

New York Yankees Insights

• Ryan Weathers – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Ryan Weathers has averaged 92.2 adjusted pitches per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Cody Bellinger has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in their last 11 games at home (+11.15 Units / 81% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
  Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 53% ROI)