
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Toronto Blue Jays
-150O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+130
(-110/-110)+130
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Blake Snell – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Blake Snell’s change-up usage has spiked by 6.1% from last season to this one (17.5% to 23.6%) .Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Max Muncy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Max Muncy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 26.4° angle last year.Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen projects as the best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+130)Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- George Springer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)George Springer has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.4-mph average to last year’s 93.2-mph EV.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (+130)The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 85 of their last 137 games (+24.94 Units / 14% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 97 games (+14.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Andy Pages – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+115/-145)Andy Pages has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)
