Discover the Game Time for Tigers vs Marlins – Sunday September 14, 2025

Detroit Tigers

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Miami Marlins

As the Miami Marlins prepare to face off against the Detroit Tigers on September 14, 2025, the stakes are high, especially after the Marlins secured a 6-4 victory in their last encounter. Currently, the Marlins hold a record of 70-79, reflecting a below-average season, while the Tigers sit at 84-65, showcasing a strong performance overall.

On the mound, the Marlins are projected to start Adam Mazur, who has struggled this season, posting an 0-3 record and a dismal ERA of 6.30. His recent outing on September 9 saw him allow 4 earned runs over just 4 innings, indicating he has been far from consistent. In contrast, the Tigers will send Keider Montero to the hill, who, despite being labeled as one of the worst pitchers in MLB, has managed a 4-3 record with an ERA of 4.60. Montero also has a recent history of struggles, giving up 5 earned runs in his last start on July 25.

Both teams’ offenses have had their ups and downs this season. The Marlins rank 17th in MLB offensively, while the Tigers are similarly positioned at 11th. Notably, the Marlins have been solid in batting average, ranking 11th, but have struggled with power, sitting 25th in home runs. This dynamic could play a crucial role in today’s matchup, especially considering the Tigers’ high strikeout rate, which could work in Mazur’s favor, given his low-strikeout profile.

With a Game Total set at 9.5 runs, the projections favor the Tigers to score around 5.07 runs, while the Marlins are expected to tally approximately 4.43 runs. Despite the Marlins being underdogs at +120, they have the potential to capitalize on their recent momentum and the Tigers’ pitching inconsistencies.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Keider Montero – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Keider Montero to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 85 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88-mph mark last year has lowered to 85.8-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Detroit Tigers – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Detroit Tigers’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Miami Marlins Insights

• Adam Mazur – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  The Detroit Tigers have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Mazur in this matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Javier Sanoja – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  Javier Sanoja has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .236 mark is quite a bit lower than his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
• Max Acosta – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
  Maximo Acosta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Miami Marlins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+14.50 Units / 16% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Wenceel Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-125/-105)
  Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 56% ROI)