Discover the Betting Trends for Marlins vs Pirates Game – Friday, June 12, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

Pittsburgh Pirates

Miami Marlins Insights

• Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Sandy Alcantara has relied on his curveball 15.5% less often this season (2.5%) than he did last season (18%).
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
• Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+160/-210)
  When it comes to his batting average skill, Otto Lopez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Braxton Ashcraft – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Braxton Ashcraft’s 96.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 92nd percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+195/-265)
  Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The underlying talent of the Pittsburgh Pirates projected lineup today (.313 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit worse than their .324 wOBA this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.