Discover Current Player Trends for Reds vs Brewers – Friday September 11, 2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Andrew Abbott – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Andrew Abbott has gone to his slider 5.3% more often this season (19.2%) than he did last season (13.9%).
  Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Sal Stewart – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)
  In today’s game, Sal Stewart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.5% rate (97th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-185)
  Dustin May gave up a colossal 6 earned runs in his last GS.
  Explain: A pitcher who struggled in his last outing may have something wrong that affects him in his next outing as well.
• Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Over the last two weeks, Brice Turang’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-195)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 50 games at home (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 26% ROI)
• Joey Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Joey Ortiz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)