
Tampa Bay Rays
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Philadelphia Phillies
+140O/U: 6.5
(-110/-110)-165
(-110/-110)-165
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (+140)Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Liam Hicks – Over/Under HitsLiam Hicks is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- The Tampa Bay Rays (19.5 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate today.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)Considering that flyball pitchers hold a substantial edge over flyball batters, Cristopher Sanchez and his 55.8% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s outing facing 3 opposing FB batters.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Justin Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Justin Crawford has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph dropping to 79.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Philadelphia Phillies – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
