Milwaukee Brewers
Colorado Rockies
(-110/-110)+110
On April 10, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the Milwaukee Brewers at Coors Field for the third game of their series. After a lopsided 17-2 loss in their last matchup, the Rockies are struggling with a 2-9 record this season, while the Brewers sit more comfortably at 7-5. This matchup showcases two right-handed pitchers: Ryan Feltner for the Rockies and Quinn Priester for the Brewers, each with their own ups and downs this season.
Feltner, rated as the 160th best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball according to advanced stats, has had a rocky start with a 3.60 ERA. His 4.47 FIP suggests he may have been lucky so far, and projections indicate he will allow an average of 2.9 earned runs over 5.1 innings today. The Rockies’ offense ranks 20th in the league, while their best hitter has only managed 2 home runs this season, underscoring their struggles at the plate.
On the other hand, Quinn Priester’s projections reflect his below-average status, and while he performed admirably in his last start, his work today is expected to yield similar results as Feltner. The Brewers’ offense ranks 12th overall, buoyed by their best hitter’s impressive .315 batting average and 4 home runs.
The Game Total for today is set at a high 10.5 runs, indicating expectations for a competitive matchup. Currently, the Rockies hold a moneyline of +110, suggesting bettors see this as a close game, while the Brewers are favored at -130. With both teams desperate for a win, the Rockies will need to capitalize on their home field advantage to turn their season around against a hot Brewers squad.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-130)The Milwaukee Brewers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)Joey Ortiz’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph figure last season has lowered to 81.8-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Milwaukee Brewers are expected to tally the most runs (5.45 on average) of the day.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)Ryan Feltner is an extreme groundball pitcher (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Coors Field — the #4 HR venue in MLB — today.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Mickey Moniak – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Mickey Moniak is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
- Today’s version of the Rockies projected batting order is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .298 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .314 overall projected rate.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+100)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 81 away games (+0.60 Units / 1% ROI)
- Michael Toglia – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+160/-210)Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)