Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
(-105/-115)-140
The June 9, 2025 matchup features the Los Angeles Angels hosting the Oakland Athletics at Angel Stadium. Both teams are struggling this season, with the Angels sitting at 30-34 and the Athletics at 26-41. The Angels are coming off a narrow 3-2 loss in their last game, while the Athletics enjoyed a more convincing victory, winning 5-1.
Angels’ projected starter Yusei Kikuchi aims to improve his lackluster record of 1-5 this season. Despite having a solid ERA of 3.23, advanced metrics suggest he’s been somewhat fortunate, as his 4.76 xFIP indicates potential regression. Kikuchi has struggled with walks, averaging 1.5 per game, which could be a critical factor against an Oakland lineup that ranks 7th in MLB offensive efficiency.
On the other side of the mound, Grant Holman is projected to pitch for the Athletics. His projections are less than impressive, averaging only 1.3 innings with a concerning 0.6 earned runs allowed. With the Angels’ offense ranking 22nd overall and 27th in batting average, they’ll need to capitalize on any mistakes Holman makes. However, they possess significant power, ranking 3rd in home runs this season, which could be pivotal against a pitcher like Holman.
Betting lines currently favor the Angels with a moneyline of -140, giving them an implied team total of 4.81 runs. With the Angels needing a win to push past their mediocre season, they may find the motivation they need against a struggling Athletics team. The total for this game is set at a high 9.0 runs, indicating expectations of offensive fireworks, particularly from the Angels’ power hitters.
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+110)With 8 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jeffrey Springs will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Despite posting a .402 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Wilson has been lucky given the .088 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
- Brent Rooker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Brent Rooker projects as the 20th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Yusei Kikuchi – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)Yusei Kikuchi’s 94-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.6-mph fall off from last year’s 95.6-mph figure.Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
- Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)Nolan Schanuel has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Scott Kingery, Jo Adell, Chris Taylor, Mike Trout).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Run Line -1.5 (+145)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Athletics – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-145/+115)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-170/+130)Jacob Wilson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.45 Units / 67% ROI)