Check Out the Top Player Prop Picks for Twins vs Rays – Sunday, April 26, 2026

Minnesota Twins

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Tampa Bay Rays

Minnesota Twins Insights

• Simeon Woods Richard – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Simeon Woods Richardson is expected to record an average of 3.4 strikeouts in this outing.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Tristan Gray – Over/Under Total Bases
  Tristan Gray may have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Minnesota Twins bats collectively rank near the bottom of MLB this year ( 4th-worst) as far as their 88.4-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Jesse Scholtens – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jesse Scholtens in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Yandy Diaz has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 14.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.