Milwaukee Brewers
New York Yankees
(-110/-110)-165
As the New York Yankees prepare to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers on March 29, 2025, both teams are looking to establish momentum in this Interleague matchup. The Yankees enter the game with a record of 1-0, coming off a solid 4-2 victory over the Brewers just two days prior. In stark contrast, Milwaukee is struggling with a 0-1 record this season, having lost their season opener against the Yankees.
The Yankees are projected to start elite left-handed pitcher Max Fried, who is ranked 9th among MLB starters according to the leading MLB projection system. Fried’s last outing was a blip on the radar, as he was rocked for 5 earned runs in just 2 innings on October 2, 2024. However, he is expected to bounce back, projecting an average of 5.2 innings pitched with only 1.7 earned runs allowed. His strikeout rate of 5.1 batters per game is considered average, but he has struggled with hits and walks allowed, which could be a concern.
On the other side, the Brewers will counter with Nestor Cortes, who is ranked 75th among starting pitchers. Cortes had a stellar performance in his last game on September 18, 2024, pitching 6 scoreless innings, but his projections for this matchup are less favorable. He is expected to pitch only 4.7 innings, allowing an average of 2.3 earned runs with a below-average strikeout rate of 4.8.
Offensively, the Yankees boast the 3rd best lineup in MLB, highlighted by their 1st ranking in home runs. Meanwhile, the Brewers, despite their struggles, hold a respectable 10th place ranking in overall offense. With a high Game Total of 9.0 runs, the Yankees are favored at -165, indicating an implied team total of 4.99 runs. This matchup presents a compelling opportunity for bettors, especially considering the Yankees’ strong offensive capabilities against a struggling Brewers pitching staff.
Milwaukee Brewers Insights
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+145)The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the best out of all the teams today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
New York Yankees Insights
- Max Fried – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Max Fried to be on a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
- Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Austin Wells is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best of the day).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 150 games (+15.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (+145)The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 80 away games (+9.60 Units / 10% ROI)