
Atlanta Braves
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New York Yankees
+125O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-145
(-110/-110)-145
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Grant Holmes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)With 7 hitters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Grant Holmes will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+125)The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Atlanta Braves.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (-145)The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Luis Garcia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-230/+175)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- New York Yankees – 2H MoneylineThe New York Yankees bullpen grades out as the 10th-best in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-105)The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Austin Riley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
