Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Athletics – 5/25/26

Seattle Mariners

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Athletics

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Jhonny Pereda – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Extreme groundball batters like Jhonny Pereda tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Civale.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Athletics Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Aaron Civale’s curveball usage has increased by 5.4% from last year to this one (17.4% to 22.8%) .
  Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Over the last 14 days, Carlos Cortes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  The Athletics bullpen projects as the 3rd-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-125/-105)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
• Julio Rodriguez – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+140/-180)
  Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 15 away games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)