Boxscore for Brewers vs Reds – 8/15/25

Milwaukee Brewers

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Cincinnati Reds

As the Cincinnati Reds prepare to host the Milwaukee Brewers on August 15, 2025, both teams come off noteworthy performances, with the Reds fresh off an impressive 8-0 victory in their last outing, while the Brewers celebrated a solid 12-5 win in their most recent game. This matchup is significant, featuring two clubs vying for position in the National League Central, with the Brewers holding a strong 76-44 record and the Reds following at 64-58.

On the mound for Cincinnati, Nick Martinez is set to make his 24th start of the year. Although Martinez has had an average season overall with a 4.49 ERA and a 10-9 record, he displayed effectiveness in his latest outing, pitching seven innings and allowing just one earned run. However, his projections indicate potential struggles today, with projected averages of 5.6 hits allowed and 1.2 walks, which could compromise his effectiveness against a potent Brewers lineup.

Meanwhile, Milwaukee will counter with Jacob Misiorowski, who has been having an outstanding season, reflected in his 2.70 ERA and his status as the 67th best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. Misiorowski’s performance has been solid, but he is projected to pitch just 3.1 innings today, which raises some questions about the length of his outing.

Offensively, the Brewers boast the 8th best overall rank in MLB, driven by a remarkable .299 batting average, which ranks 2nd in the league. In contrast, the Reds’ offense, while ranked 17th, has shown moments of explosiveness. The Reds’ top hitter recently put up impressive numbers with a .421 batting average and an OPS of 1.489 over the past week, suggesting a potential for offensive fireworks.

With the current moneyline favoring the Brewers at -135, analysts may see value in the Reds at +115, hinting at a closer contest than the records suggest. This matchup not only shapes the playoff race but also offers intriguing betting opportunities as both teams look to further establish their momentum.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-135)
  Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 84.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Martinez – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
  Nick Martinez has recorded 17.1 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Spencer Steer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• The Cincinnati Reds have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 15.9° figure is among the highest in baseball this year (#5 overall).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 94 games (+26.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-135)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 81 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)