Boxscore for Brewers vs Reds – 8/15/25

Milwaukee Brewers

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Cincinnati Reds

On August 15, 2025, the Cincinnati Reds are set to host the Milwaukee Brewers at Great American Ball Park in an enticing National League Central matchup. The Reds currently sit 3rd in the division with a record of 64-58, showcasing an above-average season. In contrast, the Brewers hold a solid position at 1st place with an impressive record of 76-44, marking them as one of the top contenders in the league.

Both teams enter this series with notable recent performances. Cincinnati enjoyed a dominant 8-0 victory in their last game, while Milwaukee is riding high after a 12-5 win. Each team boasts strong pitching options for this matchup, with Nick Martinez projected to start for the Reds and Jacob Misiorowski for the Brewers. Martinez, though ranked as the 90th best starting pitcher in MLB, has had some ups and downs this season, with a 4.49 ERA. His last outing was impressive, going 7 innings with just 1 earned run. On the flip side, Misiorowski, ranked 67th, has a stellar 2.70 ERA and is coming off a successful stretch.

Cincinnati’s offense ranks 17th overall, but they are looking to leverage their recent momentum against a Milwaukee team that possesses the 8th best offense in MLB. The Brewers excel in batting average, ranking 2nd, which will test the Reds’ pitching staff. However, the projections indicate a close contest, and Cincinnati’s solid bullpen, ranked 7th in MLB, could be crucial in keeping the game competitive.

With a Game Total set at 9.0 runs, betting markets suggest this matchup will be tightly contested. Cincinnati’s current moneyline is +115, while Milwaukee stands at -135. The Reds’ average implied team total of 4.24 runs gives them a fighting chance, while the Brewers’ high total of 4.76 runs reflects their offensive prowess. This game promises an exciting clash between two rivals, with the potential for a surprising outcome.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-140)
  Out of all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Caleb Durbin’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 84.3-mph seasonal average has decreased to 82.2-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Martinez – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  Nick Martinez has recorded 17.1 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Spencer Steer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Milwaukee (#1-best on the slate today).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 3 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 94 games (+26.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-140)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 81 games (+31.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Joseph Ortiz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
  Joseph Ortiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)