Betting Odds and Expert Picks for Blue Jays vs Red Sox 7/24/26

+110O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-130

Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Trey Yesavage has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per start this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
Daulton Varsho has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Alejandro Kirk – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Patrick Sandoval – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
The Toronto Blue Jays have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Sandoval in this game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-205)
Caleb Durbin has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.4-mph dropping to 82.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Boston Red Sox offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-130)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+16.50 Units / 56% ROI)
Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Willson Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-130/+100)
Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)

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