Bets and Betting Tips for Yankees vs Tigers – June 22, 2026

New York Yankees

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Detroit Tigers

New York Yankees Insights

• Gerrit Cole – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-145/+115)
  Throwing 82.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Gerrit Cole ranks in the 24th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Extreme groundball batters like Cody Bellinger tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .320, which is considerably lower than their actual wOBA of .335 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-150/+115)
  Due to his large reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will be at an advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s outing.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+120)
  Colt Keith is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-155/+120)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+130)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-170)
  Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 94% ROI)