Get the Cardinals vs Brewers Injury Report - Sunday, September 27, 2026

+175O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-205

St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+185)
Andre Pallante is an extreme groundball pitcher (57.2% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in American Family Field — the #8 HR venue in the league — in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
Thomas Saggese – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
Thomas Saggese is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Jordan Walker – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)
Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has used his off-speed and breaking balls 9% less often this year (36.6%) than he did last season (45.6%).
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Sal Frelick – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 88.2-mph EV last season has decreased to 85.2-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
Rating least steep in the game this year, Milwaukee Brewers hitters collectively have posted a 9.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to study the ability to lift the ball for power).
Explain: A low launch angle generally means the hitter struggles to lift the ball into the air, which is a key component for power and home runs.

Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-205)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (+110)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
Jake Bauers – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+120/-155)
Jake Bauers has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 43% ROI)

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