Boxscore for Phillies vs Mets – 9/19/26

Philadelphia Phillies

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New York Mets

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Andrew Painter – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Painter to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
  Explain: Pitchers who throw relatively few pitches are more likely to get pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Brandon Marsh is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Bryson Stott – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+220/-300)
  Bryson Stott hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• Christian Scott – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-165/+125)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Juan Soto – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Juan Soto has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 97.3-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• New York Mets – Moneyline (-125)
  The New York Mets projected batting order grades out as the best on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.