Live Stream Details for Rays vs Braves – Tuesday, September 08, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

Atlanta Braves

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Freddy Peralta’s high usage rate of his fastball (52.4% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Jorge Mateo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
  Jorge Mateo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Tampa Bay Rays batters jointly rank 30th- in MLB for power this year when assessing with their 5.9% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• AJ Smith-Shawver – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  AJ Smith-Shawver’s 95.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 84th percentile among all SPs.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Sean Murphy – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Sean Murphy has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 99.8-mph over the past 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Drake Baldwin has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-115)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-105)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.45 Units / 35% ROI)
• Drake Baldwin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
  Drake Baldwin has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)