Find Out How to Watch Mets vs Rays – Monday, August 31st, 2026

New York Mets

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Tampa Bay Rays

New York Mets Insights

• Bo Bichette – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-220/+165)
  When it comes to his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 6th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Tampa Bay Rays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-210)
  Ian Seymour is an extreme flyball pitcher (39% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue among all major league parks today.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Because of Robert Stock’s large platoon split, Yandy Diaz will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-160/+125)
  Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.65 Units / 52% ROI)