Player Trends for Pirates vs Padres – Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

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San Diego Padres

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Paul Skenes – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Paul Skenes projects as the 11th-best starting pitcher in the majors currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.
• Jake Mangum – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-200/+155)
  As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Michael King today.
  Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen ranks as the 2nd-best out of all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-120)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• Ty France – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+560/-1000)
  Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+7.50 Units / 107% ROI)