
San Diego Padres
@

New York Mets
-140O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+120
(-110/-110)+120
San Diego Padres Insights
- Xander Bogaerts – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- San Diego Padres – 2H MoneylineThe San Diego Padres bullpen projects as the 2nd-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
New York Mets Insights
- Marcus Semien – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- San Diego Padres – Moneyline (-140)The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Michael King – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)Michael King has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
