Discover the Marlins vs Phillies Head-to-Head Preview and Score Prediction – Tuesday, August 18th, 2026

Miami Marlins

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Philadelphia Phillies

Miami Marlins Insights

• Cade Gibson – Over/Under Strikeouts
  Cade Gibson’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (66.7% since the start of last season) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Griffin Conine has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• Miami Marlins bats as a unit place 27th- in the league for power this year when using their 6.7% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Zack Wheeler’s 2436-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Bryce Harper may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Brandon Marsh – Over/Under Total Bases
  Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.