
San Francisco Giants
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Texas Rangers
-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Logan Webb – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+110/-140)Compared to the average starting pitcher, Logan Webb has been given an above-average leash this year, tallying an additional 6.6 adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- San Francisco Giants – Moneyline (-110)The San Francisco Giants projected batting order projects as the 2nd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a weak opposing offense will be more likely to exceed his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Texas Rangers Insights
- Cal Quantrill – Over/Under StrikeoutsContrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Cal Quantrill has utilized his secondary offerings 9% less often this year (53.8%) than he did last season (62.8%).Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
- Elias Diaz – Over/Under Total BasesIn the last two weeks, Elias Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Texas’s 91.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #23 group of hitters in the game this year by this metric.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
