See the Updated Player Rankings for Tigers vs Athletics - 7/31/26

-140O/U: 11
(-110/-110)+120

Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-150)
Ty Madden has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play this year with a .237 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.
Explain: Casual fans and the mainstream media don’t realize that pitchers have limited control over the hits they allow, which can drastically skew their results and the way the market treats them.
Hao-Yu Lee – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
Hao Yu Lee has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+115)
Jeffrey Springs is an extreme flyball pitcher (38% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #2 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Compared to their .322 overall projected rate, the .310 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Athletics projected lineup in this game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-125/-105)
The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Over/Under 11.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Hao-Yu Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-245/+185)
Hao-Yu Lee has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 31% ROI)

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