Live Stream for Guardians vs Reds Game – Wednesday, July 29, 2026

Cleveland Guardians

@

Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
  Joey Cantillo’s higher usage percentage of his secondary pitches this year (65% compared to 57.6% last year) figures to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Brady Singer – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Out of all starting pitchers, Brady Singer’s fastball velocity of 90.7 mph is in the 4th percentile this year.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Tyler Stephenson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
  Tyler Stephenson has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Cincinnati Reds have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Eugenio Suarez, Elly De La Cruz, Ivan Johnson).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

• Cincinnati Reds – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-135/+105)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• Steven Kwan – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)