
Los Angeles Dodgers
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New York Yankees
-140O/U: 9
(-115/-105)+120
(-115/-105)+120
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Freddie Freeman has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the best in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
New York Yankees Insights
- New York Yankees – Moneyline (+120)The New York Yankees infield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jose Caballero – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)Jose Caballero’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 86.1-mph mark last season has dropped off to 83.6-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+105)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 away games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
