Explore Player Props Preview for Marlins vs Cubs - 9/22/26

+180O/U: 6.5
(-115/-105)-205

Janson Junk – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+135/-175)
Janson Junk has relied on his slider 8.6% less often this season (33.9%) than he did last season (42.5%).
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Deyvison De Los Santos – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+105/-135)
Deyvison De Los Santos is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams on the slate).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Heriberto Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-205)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
Michael Conforto is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-205)
The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago Cubs – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (-135)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
Over/Under 6.5 Game Total (-115/-105)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-135/+105)
Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)

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