
Athletics
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Chicago White Sox
-110O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-110
(-110/-110)-110
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)Gage Jump projects to allow an average of 2.36 earned runs in today’s outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Today’s version of the Athletics projected batting order is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .314 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .336 overall projected rate.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Erick Fedde has gone to his non-fastballs 6.1% more often this year (70.2%) than he did last season (64.1%).Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
- Kyle Teel – Over/Under HitsKyle Teel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Chicago White Sox – 2H MoneylineThe Chicago White Sox bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
