Philadelphia Phillies
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Detroit Tigers
+100O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-120
(-110/-110)-120
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Aaron Nola – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects that Aaron Nola will rack up an average of 5.7 strikeouts in today’s game.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Derek Hill – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)Extreme flyball hitters like Derek Hill usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Jack Flaherty – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jack Flaherty faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+105)The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Philadelphia Phillies – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)