
San Francisco Giants
@

St. Louis Cardinals
+140O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-160
(-105/-115)-160
San Francisco Giants Insights
- Drew Cavanaugh – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+300/-440)Drew Cavanaugh’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 85.1-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.7-mph over the last two weeks.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the San Francisco Giants today owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .297, which is considerably worse than their actual wOBA of .310 this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Andre Pallante – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Among all starting pitchers, Andre Pallante’s fastball spin rate of 2216 rpm grades out in the 19th percentile this year.Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen profiles as the 6th-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
