
New York Yankees
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Tampa Bay Rays
-110O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-110
(+100/-120)-110
New York Yankees Insights
- Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)With 7 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Cameron Schlittler encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (+105/-135)Austin Wells’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Cedric Mullins – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Tampa Bay Rays with a 22.2% underlying K%.Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the most inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.
Betting Trends
- Tampa Bay Rays – Run Line +1.0 (-155)The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+14.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- New York Yankees – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Cam Schlittler has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
