
Kansas City Royals
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Chicago White Sox
+115O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-135
(-105/-115)-135
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – 1st Five Innings (F5) MoneylineStephen Kolek is an extreme groundball pitcher (48.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in this game.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Nick Loftin – Over/Under HitsNick Loftin is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Michael Massey – Over/Under Total BasesMichael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Chicago White Sox Insights
- David Sandlin – Over/Under StrikeoutsWith 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, David Sandlin will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Moneyline (-135)The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games at home (+16.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
