Learn About Pirates vs Rockies Picks and Betting Trends – Saturday June 20, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

Colorado Rockies

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Paul Skenes – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-180/+140)
  Paul Skenes has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, recording 8.6 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average pitcher.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+155/-205)
  Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• The Pittsburgh Pirates project for the most runs of the day, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Tomoyuki Sugano – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  With 6 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Tomoyuki Sugano will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Compared to their .326 overall projected rate, the .305 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup considerably weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Colorado Rockies – Moneyline (+175)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+2.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 58% ROI)
• Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-115/-115)
  Nick Gonzales has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.60 Units / 42% ROI)