
Los Angeles Angels
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Athletics
+115O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+105)Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (56.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Sutter Health Park — the #6 HR venue in the majors — in this matchup.Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-expected performance.
- Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+140/-185)Placing in the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Logan O’Hoppe has average 0 swipes per 600 plate appearances this year.Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
- Los Angeles Angels bats as a group grade out 4th- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 9.7% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Athletics Insights
- Gage Jump – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)The Los Angeles Angels have 8 batters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gage Jump in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Shea Langeliers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Extreme groundball bats like Shea Langeliers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+120)Lawrence Butler has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Athletics – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+110/-140)The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- Los Angeles Angels – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +1.5 (-225)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)Lawrence Butler has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+4.35 Units / 20% ROI)
