Boxscore for Phillies vs Brewers – 6/14/26

Philadelphia Phillies

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Cristopher Sanchez – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Because flyball hitters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Cristopher Sanchez (55.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 FB hitters in the opposing club’s projected lineup.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 2nd-best among all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Kyle Harrison – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-140/+110)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Kyle Harrison has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 60.5% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
• Luis Rengifo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
  Extreme flyball bats like Luis Rengifo tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Jackson Chourio – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
  Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Over/Under 6.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Edmundo Sosa – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+140/-180)
  Edmundo Sosa has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 40% ROI)