
Chicago White Sox
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Philadelphia Phillies
+160O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-185
(-110/-110)-185
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Anthony Kay – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Generating 14.3 outs per outing this year on average, Anthony Kay places him the 20th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)Miguel Vargas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Chicago White Sox bats jointly rank 5th- in the league for power this year when assessing with their 9.7% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Philadelphia Phillies Insights
- Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)Jesus Luzardo has relied on his change-up 5.5% more often this season (22.8%) than he did last season (17.3%).Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)
