
Chicago White Sox
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Minnesota Twins
+130O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-150
(-110/-110)-150
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Erick Fedde – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)Ranking in the 2nd percentile, Erick Fedde recorded a 7% Swinging Strike% this year.Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
- Andrew Benintendi – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Chicago White Sox in this game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .307, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .319 this year.Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.
Minnesota Twins Insights
- Taj Bradley – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)Compared to league average, Taj Bradley has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an additional 9.3 adjusted pitches each game.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Luke Keaschall – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)Luke Keaschall’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.1-mph figure last year has lowered to 84.1-mph.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Minnesota’s 88.1-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #26 overall.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
