Check Out Picks and Betting Guide for Mariners vs Athletics - 5/25/26

-115O/U: 10.5
(-110/-110)-105

Mitch Garver – Over/Under Total Bases
Typically, batters like Mitch Garver who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Aaron Civale.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Aaron Civale’s curveball usage has increased by 5.4% from last year to this one (17.4% to 22.8%) .
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Jeff McNeil will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Athletics – 2H Moneyline
The Athletics bullpen projects as the 5th-worst in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-120/-110)
Carlos Cortes has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)

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