Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Marlins vs Blue Jays – Monday, May 25, 2026

Miami Marlins

@

Toronto Blue Jays

Miami Marlins Insights

• Janson Junk – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-165/+130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Janson Junk will ring up an average of 17 outs in today’s game.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  When it comes to his batting average talent, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joe Mack, Christopher Morel, Owen Caissie, Kyle Stowers).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  Trey Yesavage has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.
  Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Lenyn Sosa – Over/Under Hits
  Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Liam Hicks – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)
  Liam Hicks has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 15 away games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)