Discover Current Player Trends for Cardinals vs Reds - 5/23/26

-110O/U: 10
(-110/-110)-110

Nolan Gorman – Over/Under Total Bases
Nolan Gorman has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Chase Petty – Over/Under Pitching Outs
Chase Petty has been given a below-average leash since the start of last season, throwing 8.3 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than average.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
Elly De La Cruz has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph figure.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Cincinnati Reds’ bullpen profiles as the 7th-worst among all the teams in the majors.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Over/Under 10.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.35 Units / 49% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – Run Line -1.0 (+115)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 away games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)

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