Brewers vs Cubs Picks and Betting Trends - 5/19/2026

-115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-105

Jacob Misiorowski – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has gone to his secondary offerings 6.8% less often this year (38.8%) than he did last season (45.6%).
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball more often will likely be less effective than he used to be.
Garrett Mitchell – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Garrett Mitchell, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
Christian Yelich has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-105)
Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
Ian Happ has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.1% rate last season to 17.2% this season.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-105)
The 3rd-best projected batting order of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-105)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+13.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Milwaukee Brewers – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 44% ROI)
Brice Turang – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 away games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics