Live Score for Blue Jays vs Tigers – May 16th, 2026

Toronto Blue Jays

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Detroit Tigers

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen ranks as the 5th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Detroit Tigers Insights

• Casey Mize – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-160/+125)
  Casey Mize was rolling in his last start and compiled 9 strikeouts.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Zach McKinstry will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Toronto Blue Jays has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  In today’s matchup, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40% rate (98th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Andres Gimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3500)
  Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)