Find the Best Player Prop Bets for Dodgers vs Astros – Wednesday May 06, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Houston Astros

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-150/+120)
  Compared to league average, Tyler Glasnow has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 6.0 adjusted pitches each outing.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Dalton Rushing has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 77.8-mph over the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H Moneyline
  The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Houston Astros Insights

• Lance McCullers Jr. – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Lance McCullers Jr. has gone to his cutter 22.8% more often this season (27.4%) than he did last year (4.6%).
  Explain: Because cutters are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Zach Dezenzo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Zach Dezenzo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 26.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• Isaac Paredes – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.6% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 5.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.90 Units / 56% ROI)
• Dalton Rushing – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
  Dalton Rushing has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)