
Texas Rangers
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Detroit Tigers
+100O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-120
(-105/-115)-120
Texas Rangers Insights
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-145)Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Detroit Tigers Insights
- Tyler Holton will “start” for Detroit Tigers in today’s game but will function as an opener and may not last more than a couple framess.Explain: Openers have become a common strategy where a relief pitcher is used for the first (and maybe second) inning. This can suppress early run scoring as relievers are generally of a higher quality than non-ace starters.
- Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) suggests that Spencer Torkelson has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .239 actual batting average.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- The Detroit Tigers have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Spencer Torkelson, Kerry Carpenter, Jake Rogers).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Betting Trends
- Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-105/-115)The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 away games (+11.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Jung – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+700/-1600)Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
