Discover the Game Location for D-Backs vs Cubs – Saturday, May 2, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks

@

Chicago Cubs

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Ryne Nelson – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Ryne Nelson has recorded 12.8 outs per start this year, grading out in the 11th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Nolan Arenado – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 83.4-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Arizona Diamondbacks’ bullpen ranks as the 6th-best out of all MLB teams.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Chicago Cubs Insights

• Shota Imanaga – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Shota Imanaga has relied on his four-seam fastball 5.9% less often this season (42.8%) than he did last season (48.7%).
  Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Seiya Suzuki – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Seiya Suzuki is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+130)
  Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Chicago Cubs – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-145/+115)
  The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+105/-135)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.95 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+900/-2500)
  Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+18.60 Units / 207% ROI)