
Kansas City Royals
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Seattle Mariners
+115O/U: 7
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+115)Among every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)Jac Caglianone has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.3-mph average to last season’s 89.4-mph figure.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Michael Massey – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+230/-310)Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryan Woo – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-170)Tallying 17.5 outs per GS this year on average, Bryan Woo places him the 86th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-110/-120)Mitch Garver has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .168 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- Seattle’s 15.2° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league this year: #8 overall.Explain: A high launch angle generally means the hitter can lift the ball into the air well, which is a key component for power and home runs.
Betting Trends
- Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-120/-110)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-110/-110)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Mitch Garver – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+205/-275)Mitch Garver has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
