Review the Latest Player Stats for Mariners vs Cardinals – Sunday, April 26th, 2026

Seattle Mariners

@

St. Louis Cardinals

Seattle Mariners Insights

• Emerson Hancock – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
  Emerson Hancock’s 2517-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a significant 129-rpm rise from last season’s 2388-rpm mark.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his spin rate will likely see improved results.
• Dominic Canzone – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
  Dominic Canzone has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 94.9-mph average.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cal Raleigh – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Today, Cal Raleigh is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 43.7% rate (100th percentile).
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

St. Louis Cardinals Insights

• Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Michael McGreevy is expected to tally an average of 3.5 strikeouts in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
• Victor Scott II – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)
  Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.296) provides evidence that Victor Scott II has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .266 actual wOBA.
  Explain: xwOBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s overall hitting ability more accurately than actual wOBA can.
• Positioned 5th-lowest in the league since the start of last season, St. Louis Cardinals bats jointly have put up a 12.5° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable standard to study power skills).
  Explain: If you hit the ball hard but straight at the ground, it doesn’t do you any good. A player that is skilled at lifting his hardest hit balls into the air stands the best chance of turning them into extra-base hits or home runs.

Betting Trends

• St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• Seattle Mariners – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Luke Raley – Over/Under 0.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-170/+130)
  Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)