Score for Marlins vs Giants Game - April 25, 2026

+105O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-125

Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
Out of all starting pitchers, Eury Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2650 rpm is in the 100th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jakob Marsee – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+270/-380)
Jakob Marsee’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87-mph seasonal average has lowered to 83.7-mph over the past 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Otto Lopez has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-135)
Robbie Ray is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #26 HR venue among all major league stadiums in today’s game.
Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Willy Adames – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Extreme flyball bats like Willy Adames are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Robbie Ray – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
Xavier Edwards – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)

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