
Cleveland Guardians
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Toronto Blue Jays
+120O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-140
(-110/-110)-140
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-150)Joey Cantillo projects to record an average of 14.8 outs in today’s outing, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
- Angel Martinez – Over/Under Total BasesAngel Martinez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 80.6-mph in the last 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Cleveland Guardians – 2H MoneylineThe Cleveland Guardians bullpen ranks as the 9th-best in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)Kevin Gausman’s change-up rate has increased by 5.3% from last season to this one (37.5% to 42.8%) .Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Cleveland (#2-worst on the slate).Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
- Eloy Jimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-185/+140)Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Betting Trends
- Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+120)The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
