Player Stats for Marlins vs Giants - April 24th, 2026

-110O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-110

Sandy Alcantara – Over/Under 18.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-170)
Compared to league average, Sandy Alcantara has been granted more leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, recording an extra 6.1 adjusted pitches each start.
Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Kyle Stowers – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Kyle Stowers has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adrian Houser has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
Explain: If he is less likely to strikeout, he’ll be more likely to make contact, which is often hard, home-run contact.
Otto Lopez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
Otto Lopez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Adrian Houser’s sinker percentage has fallen by 6% from last season to this one (45.9% to 39.9%) .
Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Notching 2 HRs in the last 7 days, Heliot Ramos has been on fire in recent games.
Explain: Strong recent performance may mean the player is seeing the ball well and will continue to hit well in the near-term.
Adrian Houser – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
Projected catcher Patrick Bailey projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Miami Marlins – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-130/+100)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Otto Lopez – Over/Under Singles
Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)

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